TD/ Canada Trust Economic Highlights – November 14

Highlights of the Week – November 14

United States
• With little to digest on the data front, attention was devoted to political developments this week. Stock markets remained upbeat through Wednesday, given optimistic expectations on tax reform, supportive earnings reports and gains among energy stocks.
• However, market sentiment turned down thereafter, as developments on tax reform failed to meet expectations, given key differences between the House bill and the newly-released Senate bill.
• While tax reform will remain top of mind in the days ahead, a number of important data releases next week will help tilt the narrative back toward economic fundamentals, with emphasis placed on the upcoming CPI report.

Canada
• The WTI crude oil benchmark jumped to over $57 per barrel, reaching the highest level seen since mid-2015.
• In a speech this week, Governor Poloz maintained a dovish tone, focusing on the softness in inflation. Further rate hikes remain highly data dependent.
• Housing starts increased in October, erasing some of September’s decline. However, with higher interest rates and new B20 measures weighing on demand, starts are likely to gradually slide in the coming quarters.

For further information, please contact:

John Maveety Manager, Residential Mortgages – Greater Ottawa Area TD Canada Trust
T: (613) 371-1984 F: (888) 899-1984 P: (866) 767-5446
John.Maveety@td.com